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Destiny of NATO

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The crumbling of the socalled Communist Empire in Eastern Europe in 1989 and 1990 has led many political analysts to proclaim that the transformation of international political environment from a bipolar character, in which the United States and the Soviet Union were the principal players, will result in either (1) a multipolar character, in which either (a) the United States will be but one of several major players (Hyland, 1990, p. 5), or (b) the United States, Japan, and the reunited Germany will be the major players, with a considerably less significant role for Russia (Tarnoff, 1990, pp. 67-80), or (2) a unipolar character in which the United States is the dominant world power (Sanders, 1991, pp. 27-35). According to many political analysts, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will become superfluous regardless of which of the forecasted scenarios evolves (Morrison, 1994, pp. 11-15).

There is little doubt that the international political order is changing, and that in the spring of 1995 it is significantly different from what it was in the fall of 1988. It is somewhat too soon to predict with any degree of accuracy who the major players in the developing multipolar or unipolar environment will and will not be, and which, if any, of these players will be first among equals. In spite of the difficulties being experienced by the national government in Russia, a great leap of faith is required to assume that a major international

. . .
ates in the system;" (2) bipolarity, in which "two powerful states control . . . interactions within and between their respective spheres of influence;" and "a balance of power in which three or more states control one another's actions through diplomatic maneuver, shifting alliances, and open conflict" (Gilpin, 1981, p. 29). Robert Keohane, however, contended that claims "for the general validity of the theory of hegemonic stability are often exaggerated. The dominance of a single great power may contribute to order in world politics, in particular circumstances, but it is not a sufficient condition . . . ." (Keohane, 1984, p. 46). Keohane added that hegemony "and cooperation are not alternatives; on the contrary, they are often found in symbiotic relationships with one another" ((p. 46). With respect to the hierarchy of prestige among states, Gilpin stated that, ultimately, it "rests on economic and military power. Prestige is the reputation for power, and military power in particular . . . prestige refers primarily to the perceptions of other states with respect to a state's capacities and its ability and willingness to exercise its power . . Prestige, rather than power, is the everyday currency of international relations
. . .

Some common words found in the essay are:
Robert Keohane, United Russiawill, Robert Gilpin, Organization NATO, Keohane Keohane, European Community, Eastern Europe, Yugoslavia Israel, Gulf War, Russia Tarnoff, gilpin 1981, keohane 1984, 1994 pp, international political, international relations, major players, conflict resolution, character united, eastern europe, european community, free trade agreements, moisi mertes 1995, conflicts former yugoslavia, 1994 february 7, gilpin 1981 pp,
Approximate Word count = 1582
Approximate Pages = 6 (250 words per page)

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