Comparative Country Risk Evaluation TABLE OF CONTENTS

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INTRODUCTION .............................................. 1

EVALUATION CRITERIA ....................................... 1

COUNTRY ASSESSMENTS ....................................... 2

Argentina ............................................... 3

Brazil .................................................. 7

Mexico .................................................. 10

COMPARATIVE RISK EVALUATION ............................... 12

RECOMMENDATION ............................................ 13

REFERENCES ................................................ 14

This research provides a comparative country risk study related to the export of computer software products from the United States to one of three Latin American countries. The three Latin American countries considered are Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico. The research concludes with a recommendation of one of the three countries as an export target.

The factors upon which the comparative risk evaluation was based were (1) population size, (2) percapita gross domestic product (GDP), (3) external debt load, (4) the significance of foreign trade to the country's economy, (5) political stability, and (6) international copyright protection. In all cases, the best rating was assigned to lowest numerical value. For population size, and per capita GD

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c. The plan must both show some success, and relieve current pressures on the Argentine populace, if the Menem government is to survive beyond its first term. The Argentine economy is heavily dependent upon export/ import trade, with 12.7 percent of GDP being exported, while importing goods with a value equivalent to 5.8 percent of the GDP. The export/import trade provides the country with a healthy merchandise trade surplus. Argentina's enormous external debt, however, has kept its balance of payments in continual deficit for years. Argentina's major export trading partners are the Soviet Union13 percent, the United States12 percent, and The Nederlandsnine percent (International Monetary Fund, 1990). Major import trading partners include the United States18 percent, Brazil16 percent, the Federal Republic of Germany (West Germany)nine percent, and Japanseven percent (Inter national Monetary Fund, 1990). 6 Argentina, as is true of the United States, encourages foreign manufacturers to establish production facilities within the country. The Argentine government, however, does impose restrictions on the type of industrial enterprises established, and on the control of such enterprises. In terms of

Category: Business - C