Future Alignment of World Power
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The balance of geopolitical power twenty years from now will be a continuation of trends already evident. There is today one superpower in the sense of a specific nation with enough clout to be influential around the world, and that is the United States. In 20 years, the United States will remain a superpower as an individual state facing regional powers that could rival her power and constitute superpowers on their own, based on economic ties or cultural similarities. The north-south dichotomy will become more pronounced, with the north being the U.S., Europe, and some configuration of the former Russian Republics as the developed world set against the south of Latin America and Africa as the still-developing world. The nation-state remains an important unit, though in some parts of the world it becomes less independent and more powerful through alliances along the lines of the present European community, but with a stronger political component than that alliance is now intended to have. The primary political paradigm will be some form of participatory democracy in imitation of the form prevalent in the developed world. China as well will have moved toward that structure but will still constitute an uncertain member of the northern world, a country still attempting to develop a strong capitalist economy but still wary of her more successful neighbors such as Japan and rivals such as the United States. The likely political units to develop over the next 20 years wi
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in order to create a more competitive environment, whether through the sort of unified effort seen in Europe or the more cooperative effort of NAFTA. Other regions of the world will also begin to coalesce around such issues to counteract the competition of a powerhouse such as Japan, the United States, or the EC.
It is clear that the newly independent states of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, all working toward regimes that will be democratic and with strong and stable economic systems capable of competing in the international markets, pose a particular problem for the EC. Concern in Europe has a defense as well as an economic concern, for it would be considered a security threat to have unstable countries bordering the European community. Stable democracies could be important allies and valuable trading partners in the future of Europe, but it may be some time before these countries are seen as stable either politically or economically. Schopflin points out that these new democracies have not been in existence long enough for us to analyze them or assess their viability over time. He also states that the task of building new systems will be a long and arduous one. However, he further indicates that the efforts
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Some common words found in the essay are:
Third World, Eastern Europe, America Africa, Gulf War, China Japan, Concern Europe, Japan United, Japan Bush, , Soviet Union, european community, soviet union, eastern europe, economic integration, gulf war, nations europe, former soviet, warsaw pact, foreign policy, balance power, history november 1991, innovation changes international, former soviet union, changes international scene, current history november,
Approximate Word count = 2771
Approximate Pages = 11 (250 words per page)
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