The American Economy in 1999
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In today's world, no nation exists in economic isolation, a fact which necessitates that this analysis consider the American economy in its global context after the beginning comments which focus on the more traditional macroreconomic indicators that are used in determining the viability of the American economy. The Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) forecasts 2.3 percent growth through 2002. Generally, both the Federal Reserve Board and the Congressional Budget Office agree with this assessment (Bluestone & Harrison, 1997, 60). The year 1999, the last of the 20th Century, is forcing American economic theorists to completely reevaluate almost every aspect of traditional economic thinking, including reliance on traditional economic indicators (Lindsey, 1998, 42). For instance, the idea of an "American Company" is rapidly becoming a myth, forcing American executives to cease thinking in terms of nationally defined corporations: "The United States must open its borders to foreign investors instead of favoring firms that may simply fly the U.S. flag" (Murray, 1997, A1). This is a challenging attitude for some American companies to deal with, since it involves rethinking almost all traditional concepts of what is and what is not American. The primary change that must be accepted is America is one of the World's business powers, and not the World Business Power. As such, economic theorists can no longer discuss the United States in splendid is
. . .
igher income makes people want to consume more and therefore save less (the income effect). The overall response depends on which of the two effects dominates, a question that can only be answered empirically. Some studies find that people save less when the net rate of return rises, but the balance of evidence suggests that they save slightly more.
The chart below is a summary of major analyst's predictions of the economy. Figures are in percents of change.
Item
Optimists
Pessimists
Consumer Price Index
+ .2
-.4
Number in the Civilian Labor Force
+1.3
-1.4
Producer Price Index
+.7
-1.9
Unemployment Rate
+.3
+ .9
Gross National Product
+2
+.01
Index of Industrial Production
+2
+1
Inflation Rate
-1.6
+2.1
Retail Sales
+3
+1
Housing Starts
+2
-2
Manufacturing and Trade Sales
+3
-2
Gold Prices
+6
+1
Contracts and Orders for New Plants and Equipment
+3
+1
Oil Prices
+1
+4
Non-residential and Residential Fixed Investment
+2
-1
M1 Money Supply
+1
+3
Manufacturing and Trade Inventories
-2
+4
Exchange Rates
+2
+4
Fundamental Indicators: The Potential Impact of the Euro
Theorists and polit
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Some common words found in the essay are:
Office July, Standardization Differentiation, Labor Statistics, GDP CBO, World Bank, Web Cyberspace, Euro European, Medicaid Medicare, Price Index, American Company, , +1 , economic budget, +1, american economy, price index, +1 , economic budget 1998, +2, +2 , +3, forcing american, +2 , +3 , consumer price index,
Approximate Word count = 3645
Approximate Pages = 15 (250 words per page)
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