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e demise of the Soviet Union, the United States remains

the world's strongest military power. Long cycle theorists such

as J.S. Goldstein and Taylor have pointed out that hegemony by

one power has been a "very rare phenomenon" in world history.5

G. Modelski has shown that periods of one power hegemony rarely

last longer than 100 years.6After the allied victory in the Gulf

War of 1991, George Bush proclaimed that a New World Order had ì

begun, "an era in which the nations of the world . . . can

...