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) formulated four hypotheses. These hypotheses were as follows:

1. Alternating, generationlong periods of resource scarcity and resource abundance, as reflected in prices for food and raw materials, and as reflected in the distribution of income, will occur.

2. Waves of political problems and innovations coinciding with resource scarcities will bring the reordering of political structures and the rise of new regimes, states, and international organizations.

3. Economic innovations coinciding with periods of resource sc

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